Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.7%
Mansfield
15.2%
Draw
10.1%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
Mansfield
vs
0.78
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS49.2%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.9%
1-0
10.0%
3-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.2%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
3.6%
0-0
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
5-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).