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23 Nov 2024 · 17:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.0%
Dundee
25.4%
Draw
47.6%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

1.23

Dundee

vs
1.69

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.533.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).