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07 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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86.5%
Barnet
9.6%
Draw
3.8%
Gateshead

Expected Goals (xG)

3.29

Barnet

vs
0.65

Gateshead

Markets

BTTS46.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.590.8%
Over 2.575.4%
Over 3.555.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
4-0
9.5%
3-1
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
5-0
6.2%
4-1
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
0-0
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).