Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Empoli
26.8%
Draw
41.6%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Empoli
vs
1.32
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS49.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
4.7%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.4%
3-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).