Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.1%
Accrington
26.0%
Draw
22.9%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Accrington
vs
0.85
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS42.9%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.4%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.7%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).