Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.3%
Morecambe
25.5%
Draw
43.2%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Morecambe
vs
1.31
Exeter
Markets
BTTS46.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.3%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.0%
1-2
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).