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06 Jan 2024 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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17.5%
Ankaragucu
26.1%
Draw
56.4%
Trabzonspor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Ankaragucu

vs
2.03

Trabzonspor

Markets

BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.560.4%
Over 3.538.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
2-1
5.4%
2-3
3.7%
1-4
3.4%
0-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).