Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.6%
Ternana
27.5%
Draw
42.8%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Ternana
vs
1.53
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS56.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).