Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.8%
Sassuolo
23.2%
Draw
19.0%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Sassuolo
vs
0.88
Pisa
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.526.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
11.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).