⚽ FootballData
3 – 1
HHT: 20CSV

23 Apr 2016

Exeter

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
16.6%
Bristol Rvs
23.2%
Draw
60.2%
Exeter

Expected Goals (xG)

0.73

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.66

Exeter

Markets

BTTS41.5%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.542.9%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
15.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
7.1%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).