Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Burton
22.9%
Draw
45.3%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Burton
vs
1.56
Oxford
Markets
BTTS55.6%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.8%
3-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).