Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Bordeaux
18.7%
Draw
16.6%
Niort
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Bordeaux
vs
0.92
Niort
Markets
BTTS51.8%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.8%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).