Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.2%
Ath Madrid
18.0%
Draw
7.8%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Ath Madrid
vs
0.54
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.0%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.7%
1-0
14.4%
3-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
6.0%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-0
2.5%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).