Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.7%
Shrewsbury
25.8%
Draw
40.5%
Burton
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Shrewsbury
vs
1.24
Burton
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.566.6%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).