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25 Feb 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.7%
Halifax
27.4%
Draw
25.9%
Maidenhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Halifax

vs
1.09

Maidenhead

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.9%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.527.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-1
4.8%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
3-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).