Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.6%
Brighton
33.3%
Draw
23.1%
Sunderland
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Brighton
vs
0.82
Sunderland
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.585.2%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.533.3%
Over 3.515.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.8%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).