Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Catanzaro
26.0%
Draw
17.5%
Sampdoria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Catanzaro
vs
0.86
Sampdoria
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
1-0
12.0%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).