Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.0%
Modena
30.8%
Draw
21.2%
Trapani
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Modena
vs
0.80
Trapani
Markets
BTTS41.6%
Over 0.586.8%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.516.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).