Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.4%
Mirandes
22.2%
Draw
52.4%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Mirandes
vs
1.89
Santander
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.9%
0-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).