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03 Oct 2020 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.5%
Erzurum BB
32.8%
Draw
36.7%
Rizespor

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Erzurum BB

vs
1.35

Rizespor

Markets

BTTS55.4%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
15.8%
0-0
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
0-1
7.2%
0-2
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
1-3
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).