Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.6%
Santa Clara
19.9%
Draw
71.5%
Sp Lisbon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Santa Clara
vs
1.82
Sp Lisbon
Markets
BTTS29.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
19.3%
0-2
17.2%
0-3
10.5%
0-0
10.0%
1-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
1-0
5.0%
0-4
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
0-5
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).