Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.8%
Valencia
30.7%
Draw
29.5%
Vallecano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Valencia
vs
0.93
Vallecano
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.561.2%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
11.6%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
3.1%
3-1
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).