Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.8%
Northampton
23.8%
Draw
47.4%
Oxford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Northampton
vs
1.49
Oxford
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.5%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).