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AHT: 02CSV

21 May 2018

Huesca

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.0%
Lugo
31.6%
Draw
42.4%
Huesca

Expected Goals (xG)

0.77

Lugo

vs
1.07

Huesca

Markets

BTTS35.2%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.1%
0-0
15.7%
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.0%
2-0
4.7%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).