Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Oviedo
19.4%
Draw
9.9%
Ibiza
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98
Oviedo
vs
0.58
Ibiza
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.525.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-0
10.0%
1-1
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-0
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).