Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.3%
Castellon
25.5%
Draw
22.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Castellon
vs
0.90
Leganes
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).