Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.6%
Bielefeld
26.1%
Draw
58.4%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Bielefeld
vs
1.62
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
12.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-3
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.3%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).