Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Ajaccio
26.5%
Draw
50.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Ajaccio
vs
1.36
Troyes
Markets
BTTS40.9%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.517.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
10.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
5.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-0
3.8%
2-2
3.5%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).