Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.9%
Gil Vicente
29.9%
Draw
52.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Gil Vicente
vs
1.37
Porto
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.561.8%
Over 2.533.8%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.6%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.9%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).