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16 Feb 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.1%
Ein Frankfurt
15.5%
Draw
17.4%
Holstein Kiel

Expected Goals (xG)

3.25

Ein Frankfurt

vs
1.73

Holstein Kiel

Markets

BTTS79.3%
Over 0.599.0%
Over 1.596.2%
Over 2.587.3%
Over 3.573.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-1
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
4-2
4.8%
1-1
4.2%
3-0
3.9%
2-0
3.6%
5-1
3.6%
3-3
3.4%
1-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).