Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Sunderland
37.6%
Draw
34.4%
Everton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Sunderland
vs
0.91
Everton
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.579.9%
Over 1.552.5%
Over 2.524.3%
Over 3.59.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.1%
1-1
15.0%
0-1
14.8%
1-0
12.7%
0-2
7.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
2.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
3-0
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).