Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Cremonese
28.4%
Draw
32.3%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Cremonese
vs
1.26
Lecce
Markets
BTTS55.3%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).