Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.2%
Inter
25.3%
Draw
21.5%
Roma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Inter
vs
0.87
Roma
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.0%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).