Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Crawley Town
27.2%
Draw
47.3%
Bolton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Crawley Town
vs
1.32
Bolton
Markets
BTTS42.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.1%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).