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30 Aug 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.6%
Hertford Town
19.8%
Draw
15.6%
AFC Stoneham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.03

Hertford Town

vs
0.87

AFC Stoneham

Markets

BTTS50.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
5.2%
0-1
5.1%
2-2
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
3.9%
4-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).