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14 Sept 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.0%
Dartford
31.5%
Draw
28.5%
Leatherhead

Expected Goals (xG)

1.02

Dartford

vs
0.81

Leatherhead

Markets

BTTS35.0%
Over 0.584.3%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.8%
0-0
15.7%
0-1
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
8.4%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
5.2%
3-0
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
1-3
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).