Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.0%
Paderborn
24.9%
Draw
42.2%
Hamburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Paderborn
vs
1.76
Hamburg
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).