⚽ FootballData
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HHT: 10CSV

12 May 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.0%
Paderborn
24.9%
Draw
42.2%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Paderborn

vs
1.76

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS65.9%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.541.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.0%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.7%
0-0
4.7%
2-0
4.4%
2-3
4.0%
3-1
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).