Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.8%
Walsall
21.2%
Draw
18.1%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Walsall
vs
0.91
Newport County
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.9%
2-0
10.8%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
0-0
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).