Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Stockport
22.3%
Draw
19.2%
Colchester
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Stockport
vs
0.89
Colchester
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).