Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.0%
Chaves
25.8%
Draw
35.2%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Chaves
vs
1.21
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).