Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.2%
Fuenlabrada
27.0%
Draw
18.8%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Fuenlabrada
vs
0.71
Lugo
Markets
BTTS38.4%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.9%
0-0
11.8%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).