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22 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.0%
Tranmere
23.6%
Draw
47.4%
Grimsby

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Tranmere

vs
1.61

Grimsby

Markets

BTTS55.5%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).