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DHT: 10CSV

03 Jan 2026 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.9%
Osasuna
27.5%
Draw
24.6%
Ath Bilbao

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Osasuna

vs
0.94

Ath Bilbao

Markets

BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).