Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.3%
Juve Stabia
34.9%
Draw
21.8%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Juve Stabia
vs
0.68
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.525.9%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.4%
1-0
17.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
3-0
3.6%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
1-3
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).