Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Brentford
31.3%
Draw
21.8%
Blackburn
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Brentford
vs
0.78
Blackburn
Markets
BTTS39.9%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.533.6%
Over 3.515.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.3%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.4%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
5.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
3.9%
3-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).