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03 Dec 2025 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.0%
Falkirk
32.0%
Draw
38.0%
Motherwell

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Falkirk

vs
1.08

Motherwell

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.514.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-0
14.1%
0-1
13.8%
1-0
11.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
6.3%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).