Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →81.3%
Aston Villa
13.0%
Draw
5.7%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
Aston Villa
vs
0.76
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS51.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.572.5%
Over 3.551.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.0%
2-1
8.0%
4-0
7.8%
1-0
6.2%
1-1
6.0%
4-1
6.0%
5-0
4.7%
5-1
3.6%
0-0
3.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).