Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.9%
Oviedo
26.6%
Draw
19.5%
Numancia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Oviedo
vs
0.75
Numancia
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.537.8%
Over 3.518.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
0-0
11.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
3.1%
4-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).