Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Sociedad B
24.6%
Draw
38.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Sociedad B
vs
1.46
Malaga
Markets
BTTS58.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
8.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-2
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.9%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).