Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Metz
20.4%
Draw
54.6%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Metz
vs
2.03
Lorient
Markets
BTTS62.9%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.8%
Over 3.542.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
5.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).